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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −2.24$

Invest at least 6.09$

Average return 3.85$

ROI −36.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 6.09 $, profit at most −2.24 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.12 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.62 $ +1.23 (+47.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.80 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.31 $ +1.91 (+57.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.96 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.38 $

at 0.38

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.97 $ +1.57 (+53.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

2.01 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

2.59 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.30 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

3.64 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.64 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

22.23 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.40 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.53 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.90 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 1.12 → 2.85 $

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.61 → 1.32 $

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.38 → 0.83 $

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.51 → 1.10 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.039899, 0.055929, 0.069999, 0.066538, 0.048999, 0.062999, 0.069999, 0.043399, 0.062999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624600 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.09$ · invest 2.39$
rare inputs

nothing instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); Nova | Rising Sun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Wave Breaker: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075185; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2636606 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.04$ · invest 2.37$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075185

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build