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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −2.88$

Invest at least 6.76$

Average return 3.88$

ROI −42.6%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 6.76 $, profit at most −2.88 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.87 $

at 0.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.85 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.72 $ +1.16 (+42.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

0.42 $

at 0.21

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

5.10 $

at 0.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

3.09 $

at 1.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.61 $ +2.75 (+31.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

0.21 $

at 0.21

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

5.95 $

at 0.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

3.09 $

at 1.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.25 $ +3.18 (+34.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1.04 $

at 0.21

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

3.40 $

at 0.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1.55 $

at 1.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.99 $ +2.17 (+36.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

0.42 $

at 0.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

0.94 $

at 0.94

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

4.25 $

at 0.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.21 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.82 $ +2.47 (+31.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.044333

4.90 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.062143

4.39 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1.89 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073931

1.64 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

3.36 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.91 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

6.28 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

11.11 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.78 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624053 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1.22$ · invest 2.47$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077717 instead of 0.075880
Craft 2624374 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.20$ · invest 2.92$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077464 instead of 0.075880
Craft 2623993 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.16$ · invest 2.24$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078092 instead of 0.075880
Craft 2623985 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 1.15$ · invest 2.65$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079008 instead of 0.075880
Craft 2615266 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.13$ · invest 2.47$
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076978 instead of 0.075880

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build