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The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −81.68$

Invest at least 145.44$

Average return 63.76$

ROI −56.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 145.44 $, profit at most −81.68 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

35.88 $

at 5.13

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

13.45 $

at 6.73

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

11.21 $

at 11.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.55 $ +3.22 (+5.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

30.75 $

at 5.13

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

13.45 $

at 6.73

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

22.42 $

at 11.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.63 $ +2.35 (+3.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

25.63 $

at 5.13

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

13.45 $

at 6.73

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

33.63 $

at 11.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.72 $ +1.47 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

20.50 $

at 5.13

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

13.45 $

at 6.73

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

44.84 $

at 11.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.80 $ +0.60 (+0.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

71.35 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

63.32 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

127.28 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2616389 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 3.00$ · invest 62.96$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167536 instead of 0.168399; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076099 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build