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The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2.38$

Invest at least 11.10$

Average return 8.71$

ROI −21.5%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 11.10 $, profit at most −2.38 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.32 $

at 0.16

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.80 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

3.08 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.94 $ +3.77 (+76.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.16 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

0.61 $

at 0.61

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.51 $

at 0.75

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

9.23 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.51 $ +9.36 (+81.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.049874

2.01 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069911

2.59 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.98 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083172

0.95 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

1.64 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.34 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77.07 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

30.14 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.79 $ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.32 → 0.70 $

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 0.80 → 1.97 $

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.75 → 1.63 $

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 3.08 → 6.80 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.049874, 0.069911, 0.087499, 0.083172, 0.061249, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2619140 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.97$ · invest 5.45$
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162260 instead of 0.162599; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074264 instead of 0.074382
Craft 2628765 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 5.49$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164908 instead of 0.162599; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074382
Craft 2621533 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 5.63$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164908 instead of 0.162599; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074382

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build