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The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2 870.95₸

Invest at least 5 235.04₸

Average return 2 364.09₸

ROI −54.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 5 235.04 ₸, profit at most −2 870.95 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

848.61 ₸

at 94.29

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1 390.38 ₸

at 1 390.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 238.99 ₸ +125.11 (+5.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

2 218.15 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079899

875.92 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

858.21 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095054

741.58 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 522.50 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

23 563.44 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

8 432.09 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −204.23 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +81.77 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624902 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 117.16₸ · invest 1 894.32₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075013 instead of 0.074745

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build