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The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −488.04₴

Invest at least 1 457.56₴

Average return 969.52₴

ROI −33.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 457.56 ₴, profit at most −488.04 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

38.76 ₴

at 38.76

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

88.94 ₴

at 88.94

Steam

×8

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

456.27 ₴

at 57.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 583.97 ₴ +385.56 (+66.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 348.58 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 081.05 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 411.10 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

534.88 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.051099

533.98 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

292.56 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +254.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +328.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2615428 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 458.88₴ · invest 595.30₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.075075
Craft 2625865 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 457.76₴ · invest 667.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.075075
Craft 2613495 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 441.74₴ · invest 627.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.075075
Craft 2628653 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 398.92₴ · invest 576.12₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.075075

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build