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The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −54.83$

Invest at least 372.52$

Average return 317.68$

ROI −14.7%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 372.52 $, profit at most −54.83 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −38.87 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

78.82 $

at 11.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.72 $ +162.97 (+105.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

11.26 $

at 11.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

369.08 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.24 $ +254.66 (+55.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

22.52 $

at 11.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

307.57 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 405.99 $ +239.38 (+59.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

33.78 $

at 11.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

246.06 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 355.73 $ +224.10 (+63.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

45.04 $

at 11.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

75.90 $

at 25.30

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

184.54 $

at 61.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 305.48 $ +208.82 (+68.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

78.61 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

199.85 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 373.01 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

238.44 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +145.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +159.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2614061 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 178.28$ · invest 188.60$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.076405
Craft 2636463 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 158.44$ · invest 180.96$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.076405
Craft 2619164 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.02$ · invest 170.00$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077678 instead of 0.076405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build