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The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1.62$

Invest at least 3.58$

Average return 1.97$

ROI −45.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 3.58 $, profit at most −1.62 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Iron Clad

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.48 $

at 0.48

Steam

×9

P250 | Bullfrog

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.96 $

at 0.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.45 $ +0.52 (+35.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.50 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.53 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.27 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.37 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Aristocrat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098999

1.92 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Phobos

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

6.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Chopper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

1.91 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Reboot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.31 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.86 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.23 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2628396 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 0.53$ · invest 1.56$
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear); P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.163032
Craft 2619820 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.53$ · invest 1.31$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear); P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163615 instead of 0.163032
Craft 2628646 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 0.51$ · invest 1.43$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear); P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163032

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build