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The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −53.36$

Invest at least 111.57$

Average return 58.21$

ROI −47.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 111.57 $, profit at most −53.36 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

11.10 $

at 11.10

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1770

33.30 $

at 3.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.41 $ +13.80 (+31.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

33.31 $

at 11.10

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

22.20 $

at 3.70

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7.27 $

at 7.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.78 $ +8.89 (+14.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

33.31 $

at 11.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

17.23 $

at 17.23

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

22.20 $

at 3.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.74 $ +5.65 (+7.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

44.42 $

at 11.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

17.23 $

at 17.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

14.80 $

at 3.70

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

7.27 $

at 7.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.71 $ +1.41 (+1.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

33.35 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

85.06 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101249

138.17 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 only The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.73 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2636592 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 15.29$ · invest 41.15$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165584 instead of 0.177098
Craft 2613859 · The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.82$ · invest 40.56$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174347 instead of 0.177098
Craft 2635123 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.54$ · invest 40.03$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178571 instead of 0.177098
Craft 2631949 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.53$ · invest 39.14$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178698 instead of 0.177098
Craft 2625447 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.29$ · invest 38.64$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170454 instead of 0.177098

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build