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The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −4.62$

Invest at least 15.84$

Average return 11.22$

ROI −29.1%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 15.84 $, profit at most −4.62 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

5.00 $

at 0.56

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1.25 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.25 $ +4.98 (+79.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

2.22 $

at 0.56

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

2.24 $

at 0.75

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

3.75 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.21 $ +2.96 (+36.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

0.56 $

at 0.56

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

3.74 $

at 0.75

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

5.00 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.29 $ +1.85 (+19.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1.67 $

at 0.56

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

2.99 $

at 0.75

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3.75 $

at 1.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.40 $ +2.76 (+32.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.56 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.19 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.39 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.52 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

14.50 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.28 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

11.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

12.37 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.86 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2628768 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.43$ · invest 6.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076420 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2628175 · The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5.08$ · invest 6.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2617526 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.01$ · invest 6.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build