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The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −3.61$

Invest at least 12.67$

Average return 9.06$

ROI −28.5%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 12.67 $, profit at most −3.61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Caged

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.66 $

at 0.24

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.08 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.49 $ +3.56 (+64.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.34 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5.50 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.53 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.27 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.37 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.34 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77.07 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

30.14 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.79 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2619140 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.97$ · invest 5.45$
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162260 instead of 0.164908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074264 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2624792 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.77$ · invest 4.94$
rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162599 instead of 0.164908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074382 instead of 0.075185
Craft 2621533 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 5.63$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build