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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −92.20₴

Invest at least 238.64₴

Average return 146.44₴

ROI −38.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 238.64 ₴, profit at most −92.20 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

9.85 ₴

at 9.85

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

39.87 ₴

at 9.97

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

30.68 ₴

at 10.23

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

24.32 ₴

at 12.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.71 ₴ +41.73 (+39.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

79.75 ₴

at 9.97

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

19.74 ₴

at 19.74

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

12.16 ₴

at 12.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.65 ₴ +55.97 (+50.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

69.78 ₴

at 9.97

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

19.74 ₴

at 19.74

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

10.23 ₴

at 10.23

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

11.29 ₴

at 11.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.03 ₴ +51.29 (+46.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

9.85 ₴

at 9.85

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

19.94 ₴

at 9.97

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

40.90 ₴

at 10.23

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

33.86 ₴

at 11.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.54 ₴ +31.31 (+29.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

39.87 ₴

at 9.97

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

30.68 ₴

at 10.23

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

33.86 ₴

at 11.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.41 ₴ +36.74 (+35.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 67%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

221.74 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

175.95 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

212.06 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

99.44 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

102.41 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 9.85 → 21.27 ₴

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 39.87 → 94.30 ₴

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 30.68 → 69.33 ₴

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 24.32 → 53.74 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.214285614

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.214285, 0.261428

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.75 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.85 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620947 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 49.97₴ · invest 83.87₴
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2628211 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 49.40₴ · invest 83.87₴
P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2630125 · The Harlequin Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 47.15₴ · invest 81.04₴
MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2630220 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 47.01₴ · invest 110.72₴
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2630115 · The Harlequin Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 45.86₴ · invest 82.69₴
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2625085 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 44.06₴ · invest 82.26₴
P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2622732 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 41.97₴ · invest 89.04₴
SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2610564 · The Bank Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 41.80₴ · invest 114.64₴
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162420 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2605889 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 41.13₴ · invest 100.68₴
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested), P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162354 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162354 instead of 0.161751
Craft 2624162 · The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 37.56₴ · invest 76.60₴
P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161711 instead of 0.161751; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161711 instead of 0.161751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build