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The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −0.39$

Invest at least 0.76$

Average return 0.37$

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 0.76 $, profit at most −0.39 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

0.18 $

at 0.03

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

0.11 $

at 0.04

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Colony

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.32 $ +0.05 (+17.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

0.18 $

at 0.04

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Colony

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

0.12 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.33 $ +0.01 (+2.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.09 $

at 0.03

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.14 $

at 0.04

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Colony

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.09 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.32 $ +0.03 (+8.0%)

What you get 11 outcomes

Profitable outcome 21%
Losing outcome 79%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.24 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

0.26 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.33 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

0.20 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

0.18 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

0.88 $ 1.67%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

0.43 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

0.12 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Metallic DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

0.13 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Ash Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

0.17 $ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.008399

0.12 $ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Italy Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 only The Train Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2629951 · The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.06$ · invest 0.32$
AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested)
Craft 2601784 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 0.06$ · invest 0.32$
PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Colony (Field-Tested); MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077156 instead of 0.077483; PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New): float at most 0.006261 instead of 0.006548

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 11 outcomes

More

How to build