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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −412.80₽

Invest at least 1 799.00₽

Average return 1 386.20₽

ROI −22.9%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 1 799.00 ₽, profit at most −412.80 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

73.74 ₽

at 36.87

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

212.64 ₽

at 70.88

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

126.56 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

387.51 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 800.45 ₽ +585.75 (+73.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

258.09 ₽

at 36.87

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

141.76 ₽

at 70.88

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

129.17 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 529.02 ₽ +238.35 (+45.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

36.87 ₽

at 36.87

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

425.28 ₽

at 70.88

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

189.84 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 651.99 ₽ +424.79 (+65.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

184.35 ₽

at 36.87

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

212.64 ₽

at 70.88

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

63.28 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

129.17 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 589.44 ₽ +332.64 (+56.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

708.86 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

700.25 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

700.19 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 470.42 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 530.00 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

234.24 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 73.74 → 162.97 ₽

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 212.64 → 480.57 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 126.56 → 279.70 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 387.51 → 875.77 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.061249, 0.061249, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +320.21 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +463.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634391 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 642.46₽ · invest 589.67₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2601356 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 626.87₽ · invest 811.57₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162942 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074501 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2623813 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 617.88₽ · invest 817.35₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2634393 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 579.98₽ · invest 589.67₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166170 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075624 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2638322 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 549.85₽ · invest 664.58₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2617158 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 540.27₽ · invest 670.23₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2626597 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 508.17₽ · invest 739.59₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163918 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074841 instead of 0.074583
Craft 2628057 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 497.08₽ · invest 634.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.163177; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074583

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build