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The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −809.86₽

Invest at least 1 590.67₽

Average return 780.80₽

ROI −50.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 590.67 ₽, profit at most −809.86 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

55.03 ₽

at 55.03

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

559.62 ₽

at 62.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 614.65 ₽ +166.15 (+27.0%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

982.04 ₽ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085675

140.89 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21.79 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2628588 · The Genesis Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 177.22₽ · invest 628.25₽
MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005591
Craft 2610681 · The Bank Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 175.60₽ · invest 688.37₽
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004816 instead of 0.005591
Craft 2632416 · The Lake Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 175.56₽ · invest 598.18₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003860 instead of 0.005591
Craft 2608603 · The Arabesque Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 167.37₽ · invest 720.62₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005591
Craft 2631231 · The Huntsman Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 162.22₽ · invest 683.20₽
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004904 instead of 0.005591

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 2 outcomes

More

How to build