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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −83.13₴

Invest at least 742.78₴

Average return 659.65₴

ROI −11.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 742.78 ₴, profit at most −83.13 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

144.91 ₴

at 24.15

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

101.64 ₴

at 33.88

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

69.15 ₴

at 69.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 315.70 ₴ +343.96 (+109.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

14.44 ₴

at 14.44

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

96.60 ₴

at 24.15

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

67.76 ₴

at 33.88

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

207.46 ₴

at 69.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 386.26 ₴ +356.16 (+92.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

376.57 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.067529

418.07 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

338.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.038941

374.87 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

3 464.11 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 354.50 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

125.41 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +212.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +287.00 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601356 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 335.61₴ · invest 434.50₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162942 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074501 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2623813 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 330.80₴ · invest 437.59₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2630277 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 313.60₴ · invest 428.54₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163177 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074583 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2634393 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 310.51₴ · invest 315.70₴
rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004921 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166170 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075624 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2638322 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 294.38₴ · invest 355.80₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2617158 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 289.25₴ · invest 358.83₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2626597 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 272.06₴ · invest 395.96₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163918 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074841 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2628057 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 266.12₴ · invest 339.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build