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The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −55.80$

Invest at least 108.45$

Average return 52.64$

ROI −51.5%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 108.45 $, profit at most −55.80 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0844

12.07 $

at 12.07

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

27.23 $

at 3.40

Steam

×1

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5.48 $

at 5.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.79 $ +7.86 (+17.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

20.62 $

at 10.31

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0841

12.07 $

at 12.07

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

23.83 $

at 3.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.52 $ +6.72 (+11.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

30.93 $

at 10.31

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

12.07 $

at 12.07

Steam

×1

AWP | Duality

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

3.22 $

at 3.22

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

17.02 $

at 3.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.25 $ +5.30 (+8.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0840

24.15 $

at 12.07

Steam

×2

AWP | Duality

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

6.45 $

at 3.22

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

20.42 $

at 3.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.02 $ +6.92 (+13.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

52.03 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

56.86 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

103.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

127.45 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2616922 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 7.61$ · invest 46.34$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.164769; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.075137
Craft 2636717 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.09$ · invest 45.49$
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164697 instead of 0.164769; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075112 instead of 0.075137

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build