to all crafts

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −328.20₽

Invest at least 1 037.11₽

Average return 708.91₽

ROI −31.6%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 1 037.11 ₽, profit at most −328.20 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

199.72 ₽

at 49.93

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

61.79 ₽

at 61.79

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

64.44 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

127.83 ₽

at 42.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 453.78 ₽ +255.13 (+56.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

41.52 ₽

at 41.52

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

399.44 ₽

at 49.93

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.22 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 473.18 ₽ +174.08 (+36.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

399.44 ₽

at 49.93

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

25.11 ₽

at 25.11

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

32.22 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.77 ₽ +205.90 (+45.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

61.79 ₽

at 61.79

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

298.27 ₽

at 42.61

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

161.86 ₽

at 80.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 521.92 ₽ +248.65 (+47.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 12%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

938.62 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

965.48 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

535.56 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

466.83 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1 866.33 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

621.59 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.034444

464.28 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

663.32 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 199.72 → 472.34 ₽

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 61.79 → 133.47 ₽

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 64.44 → 142.41 ₽

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 127.83 → 288.90 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.055555456

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.055555, 0.127777, 0.021111, 0.049999, 0.055555, 0.034444, 0.049999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +111.33 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +207.39 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620347 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 277.59₽ · invest 325.45₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2637502 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 260.54₽ · invest 356.44₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2634746 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 256.57₽ · invest 378.40₽
rare inputs

nothing instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; FAMAS | Sergeant: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; MAC-10 | Heat: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074198; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2626392 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 253.88₽ · invest 376.39₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2611326 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 247.95₽ · invest 284.07₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074732 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2636250 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 237.94₽ · invest 297.43₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2636605 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 235.38₽ · invest 292.63₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074198; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074198
Craft 2637530 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 233.65₽ · invest 319.38₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076577 instead of 0.074198

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build