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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −32.26$

Invest at least 77.91$

Average return 45.65$

ROI −41.4%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 77.91 $, profit at most −32.26 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

25.30 $

at 3.16

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

5.60 $

at 2.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.90 $ +14.75 (+47.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

12.65 $

at 3.16

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

8.41 $

at 2.80

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

12.01 $

at 4.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.07 $ +2.03 (+6.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

22.14 $

at 3.16

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

5.60 $

at 2.80

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.00 $

at 4.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.74 $ +11.27 (+35.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

15.81 $

at 3.16

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

8.41 $

at 2.80

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

8.01 $

at 4.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.23 $ +5.51 (+17.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

12.64 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

12.07 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

29.65 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

23.83 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

17.70 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

41.72 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2633733 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19.56$ · invest 34.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163922 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634785 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 18.53$ · invest 34.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162056 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634658 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 18.20$ · invest 34.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear), USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163922 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634937 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 17.36$ · invest 30.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161588 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634938 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 17.06$ · invest 34.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163891 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634720 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 16.44$ · invest 30.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162056 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634758 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.08$ · invest 28.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162056 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634901 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 16.05$ · invest 30.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested), Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163069 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634915 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15.62$ · invest 29.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166498 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634916 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15.31$ · invest 30.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162056 instead of 0.162564
Craft 2634876 · The Phoenix Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 14.95$ · invest 31.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166302 instead of 0.162564

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build