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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −1.93$

Invest at least 8.30$

Average return 6.38$

ROI −23.2%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 8.30 $, profit at most −1.93 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.36 $

at 0.18

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.76 $

at 0.38

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.92 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.54 $ +2.83 (+80.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

22.23 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.40 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.53 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.90 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.20 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

1.29 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.52 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.28 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.63 $ 8.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.36 → 0.79 $

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.76 → 1.67 $

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 1.92 → 4.74 $

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.51 → 1.10 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.062999, 0.069999, 0.043399, 0.062999, 0.069999, 0.045499, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.048999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620347 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.31$ · invest 3.88$
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2637502 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.10$ · invest 4.25$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2634746 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 4.51$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2634747 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.04$ · invest 5.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074198 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074198 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2626392 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.02$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2611326 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.95$ · invest 3.38$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074732 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2636605 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.80$ · invest 3.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2637530 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 3.80$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076577 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build