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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −108.33₴

Invest at least 353.72₴

Average return 245.40₴

ROI −30.6%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 353.72 ₴, profit at most −108.33 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

24.17 ₴

at 8.06

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

17.03 ₴

at 17.03

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

86.25 ₴

at 17.25

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

22.81 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.26 ₴ +95.14 (+63.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.19 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

113.72 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

248.56 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.13 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

55.35 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

57.99 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

68.47 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

53.94 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

73.24 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 24.17 → 54.63 ₴

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 17.03 → 36.79 ₴

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 86.25 → 213.04 ₴

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 22.81 → 49.27 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.077777678

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.077777, 0.048222, 0.069999, 0.077777, 0.050555, 0.054444, 0.077777, 0.054444

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +50.36 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +77.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621357 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 85.79₴ · invest 171.83₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2628593 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 73.31₴ · invest 156.29₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075241

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build