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The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −16.71$

Invest at least 36.40$

Average return 19.69$

ROI −45.9%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 36.40 $, profit at most −16.71 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

6.86 $

at 1.14

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

6.96 $

at 2.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

1.60 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.42 $ +4.27 (+27.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4.57 $

at 1.14

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

6.96 $

at 2.32

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4.80 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.33 $ +4.18 (+25.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

6.96 $

at 2.32

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

7.99 $

at 1.60

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

4.37 $

at 2.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.32 $ +2.82 (+14.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.43 $

at 1.14

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

6.96 $

at 2.32

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6.39 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.78 $ +4.13 (+24.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 7%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

15.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090908

9.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090908

17.94 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

44.95 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090909

17.70 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620241 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.49$ · invest 14.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075951 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.005207 instead of 0.008021
Craft 2636388 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.33$ · invest 16.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077122 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.006232 instead of 0.008021
Craft 2629168 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.31$ · invest 16.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077122 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.006232 instead of 0.008021
Craft 2636546 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4.14$ · invest 17.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078378 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.007331 instead of 0.008021
Craft 2627100 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.07$ · invest 15.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074972 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004351 instead of 0.008021
Craft 2612821 · The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.07$ · invest 16.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077122 instead of 0.079167; StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.006232 instead of 0.008021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build