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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −125.40₴

Invest at least 473.88₴

Average return 348.48₴

ROI −26.5%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 473.88 ₴, profit at most −125.40 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

86.25 ₴

at 17.25

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

91.25 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

20.85 ₴

at 20.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198.35 ₴ +150.13 (+75.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

12.85 ₴

at 12.85

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

86.25 ₴

at 17.25

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

16.84 ₴

at 16.84

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

62.56 ₴

at 20.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.49 ₴ +95.92 (+53.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 31%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.19 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

113.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

248.56 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.13 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

345.65 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075444

90.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

45.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

78.96 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.066111

165.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +85.92 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +124.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2610023 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 160.25₴ · invest 214.72₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075023; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2635951 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 158.75₴ · invest 208.98₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2630168 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 153.21₴ · invest 215.45₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075023; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2627894 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 149.62₴ · invest 200.24₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2637566 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 149.59₴ · invest 200.67₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2616969 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 148.57₴ · invest 201.27₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2613905 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 148.17₴ · invest 209.55₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075023; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2612904 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 145.45₴ · invest 202.92₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2623641 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 144.89₴ · invest 209.62₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075023; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075023
Craft 2630707 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 144.26₴ · invest 221.92₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build