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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −189.76₴

Invest at least 564.76₴

Average return 375.00₴

ROI −33.6%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 564.76 ₴, profit at most −189.76 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

34.50 ₴

at 17.25

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

159.69 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

37.65 ₴

at 37.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 231.83 ₴ +143.17 (+61.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

34.50 ₴

at 17.25

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

135.56 ₴

at 27.11

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

37.65 ₴

at 37.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 294.36 ₴ +89.79 (+30.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

91.25 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

12.16 ₴

at 12.16

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

81.33 ₴

at 27.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 271.40 ₴ +109.09 (+40.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.19 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

113.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

248.56 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.13 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

385.47 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

249.01 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133111

716.09 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +75.23 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2635561 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 145.21₴ · invest 217.93₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2608607 · The Arabesque Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 131.92₴ · invest 234.73₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2627183 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 131.80₴ · invest 214.89₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build