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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −32.52$

Invest at least 80.31$

Average return 47.78$

ROI −40.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 80.31 $, profit at most −32.52 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

7.68 $

at 2.56

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

16.82 $

at 5.61

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

10.55 $

at 2.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.04 $ +12.74 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

15.35 $

at 2.56

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11.21 $

at 5.61

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

5.28 $

at 2.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.84 $ +5.39 (+16.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5.61 $

at 5.61

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

25.73 $

at 8.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.16 $ +27.02 (+57.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11.21 $

at 5.61

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

17.15 $

at 8.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.19 $ +24.71 (+55.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

16.82 $

at 5.61

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

15.83 $

at 2.64

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

8.58 $

at 8.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.22 $ +22.40 (+54.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.35 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52.39 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

28.89 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

31.08 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

32.04 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build