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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −226.27₴

Invest at least 671.27₴

Average return 444.99₴

ROI −33.7%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 671.27 ₴, profit at most −226.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

159.69 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

33.59 ₴

at 33.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 279.93 ₴ +165.06 (+59.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

136.87 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

33.59 ₴

at 33.59

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

60.93 ₴

at 60.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 318.05 ₴ +151.14 (+47.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

91.25 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

33.59 ₴

at 33.59

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

182.79 ₴

at 60.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 394.29 ₴ +123.31 (+31.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

68.44 ₴

at 22.81

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

86.66 ₴

at 43.33

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

33.59 ₴

at 33.59

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Necropos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

243.72 ₴

at 60.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 432.41 ₴ +109.39 (+25.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 24%
About break-even 22%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

999.19 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332.78 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

248.56 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

355.13 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

986.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

511.49 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 712.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

255.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

344.78 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +85.06 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +133.86 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2633895 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 182.00₴ · invest 290.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build