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The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −11.57$

Invest at least 26.38$

Average return 14.80$

ROI −43.9%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 26.38 $, profit at most −11.57 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.47 $

at 0.78

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

2.29 $

at 1.15

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

3.40 $

at 3.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.17 $ +3.63 (+32.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51.17 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

11.41 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.30 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

4.14 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4.94 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

52.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

18.61 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2608967 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.90$ · invest 11.84$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076143 instead of 0.075599; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005375 instead of 0.004899
Craft 2609325 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.82$ · invest 10.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076143 instead of 0.075599; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005375 instead of 0.004899
Craft 2612078 · The Bravo Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.81$ · invest 13.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076143 instead of 0.075599; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005375 instead of 0.004899

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build