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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −562.31₴

Invest at least 1 672.92₴

Average return 1 110.61₴

ROI −33.6%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 672.92 ₴, profit at most −562.31 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

67.76 ₴

at 33.88

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

484.08 ₴

at 69.15

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

133.69 ₴

at 133.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 685.53 ₴ +425.08 (+62.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

33.88 ₴

at 33.88

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

414.93 ₴

at 69.15

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

206.78 ₴

at 103.39

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

133.69 ₴

at 133.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 789.28 ₴ +230.00 (+29.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

67.76 ₴

at 33.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

276.62 ₴

at 69.15

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

103.39 ₴

at 103.39

Steam

×3

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

401.07 ₴

at 133.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 848.83 ₴ +124.78 (+14.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

374.87 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 464.11 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 354.50 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

125.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.053249

1 200.11 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

409.03 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +189.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +316.89 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build