The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −69 798.69₸

Invest at least 439 938.67₸

Average return 370 139.98₸

ROI −15.9%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 439 938.67 ₸, profit at most −69 798.69 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −42 547.11 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

42 599.35 ₸

at 42 599.35

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

147 113.77 ₸

at 36 778.44

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 189 713.12 ₸ +180 426.86 (+95.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 766 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

85 198.71 ₸

at 42 599.35

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

110 335.33 ₸

at 36 778.44

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 195 534.03 ₸ +118 214.47 (+60.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 122 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

127 798.06 ₸

at 42 599.35

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

73 556.88 ₸

at 36 778.44

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 201 354.94 ₸ +56 002.13 (+27.8%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 513.07 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

482 742.79 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 633.28 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140 148.10 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 010.56 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 986.86 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 256.84 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176 718.70 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

640 650.91 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

951 112.45 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 444.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 340.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 036.37 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

107 801.54 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

460 684.65 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

369 058.16 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

567 314.34 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 650 336.72 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

996 506.70 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

310 139.81 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111 719.39 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 318.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 062.50 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 862.58 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

107 944.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

111 472.31 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134 591.33 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 143.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 214.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 057.12 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222 032.75 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 747.49 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 902.94 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

47 277.18 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +161 073.86 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +176 031.58 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2639726 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 181 218.73₸ · invest 185 418.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639727 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 181 218.73₸ · invest 185 418.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639758 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 180 426.85₸ · invest 189 713.12₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2639694 · The Gamma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 178 566.15₸ · invest 212 771.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639695 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 178 566.15₸ · invest 212 771.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639766 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 177 516.67₸ · invest 213 097.42₸
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639767 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 177 516.67₸ · invest 213 097.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639706 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 173 722.49₸ · invest 182 665.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639708 · The Clutch Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 173 722.49₸ · invest 182 665.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639692 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 170 161.43₸ · invest 221 176.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639693 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 170 161.43₸ · invest 221 176.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639630 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 169 617.15₸ · invest 217 704.12₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639631 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 169 617.15₸ · invest 217 704.12₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639684 · The Fever Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 168 829.58₸ · invest 190 086.01₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639685 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 168 829.58₸ · invest 190 086.01₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639680 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 168 461.74₸ · invest 202 728.21₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639681 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 168 461.74₸ · invest 202 728.21₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639550 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 166 650.57₸ · invest 220 670.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639551 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 166 650.57₸ · invest 220 670.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008066 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639742 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 163 786.08₸ · invest 204 021.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2639743 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 163 786.08₸ · invest 204 021.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build