The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −42 843.15₽

Invest at least 60 059.29₽

Average return 17 216.14₽

ROI −71.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 60 059.29 ₽, profit at most −42 843.15 ₽

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

13 617.84 ₽

at 4 539.28

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

5 834.04 ₽

at 5 834.04

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

7 722.89 ₽

at 7 722.89

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 174.77 ₽ −9 958.63 (−36.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

9 078.56 ₽

at 4 539.28

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

3 778.91 ₽

at 3 778.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

15 445.78 ₽

at 7 722.89

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 28 303.25 ₽ −11 120.76 (−39.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

7 572.21 ₽

at 7 572.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

3 778.91 ₽

at 3 778.91

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

17 502.12 ₽

at 5 834.04

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 28 853.24 ₽ −11 704.39 (−40.6%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 78%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

42 890.00 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

33 871.46 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 000.00 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 083.82 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

28 964.50 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 809.70 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 139.26 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29 261.13 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 010.99 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 468.67 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10 375.53 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

21 402.80 ₽ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

14 109.50 ₽ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

25 967.58 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

58 098.55 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

28 964.50 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

16 367.15 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

36 600.21 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 500.00 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

28 799.00 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 100.44 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 701.38 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 091.06 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

11 682.34 ₽ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) × 3 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 13 617.84 → 30 776.32 ₽

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 834.04 → 12 601.53 ₽

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 722.89 → 16 681.44 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11 939.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10 194.82 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build