The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −7 459.01₴

Invest 17 261.50₴

Average return 9 802.49₴

ROI −43.2%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest 17 261.50 ₴, profit −7 459.01 ₴

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −10 993.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7999

10 589.75 ₴

at 2 647.44

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6999

6 512.90 ₴

at 6 512.90

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 102.65 ₴ −7 300.16 (−42.7%)

What you get 60 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

67 421.63 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

26 968.56 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

44 528.33 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

31 712.32 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

28 529.62 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

14 776.39 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

4 135.18 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

5 022.90 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

5 621.45 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 657.84 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

3 694.10 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

4 661.07 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

2 889.68 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 146.33 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

2 675.73 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 175.95 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 301.18 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

12 870.76 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

3 655.59 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 987.30 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

3 781.89 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 993.51 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 917.10 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

12 518.01 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.479999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.649999

4 062.82 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

5 394.34 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 996.66 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

2 685.39 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

91 458.34 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

59 162.78 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

28 963.40 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

32 076.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

17 317.75 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 888.76 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 636.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

6 067.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 425.79 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 603.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

4 989.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

4 045.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 495.06 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 262.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

18 536.57 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

12 492.49 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

8 298.34 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

4 925.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

2 222.23 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 283.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

16 900.05 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 888.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

9 235.25 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.499999

6 202.77 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 591.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 955.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 10 589.75 → 10 748.59 ₴

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 6 512.90 → 6 512.90 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.999999900

outcomes come out up to 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.999999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.479999, 0.649999, 0.849999, 0.999999, 0.499999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.079999, 0.499999, 0.999999, 0.799999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 221.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 422.96 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2644721 · The Spectrum Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 300.16₴ · invest 17 102.65₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 60 outcomes

More

How to build