The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −5 174.86₴

Invest 10 141.30₴

Average return 4 966.44₴

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest 10 141.30 ₴, profit −5 174.86 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −5 417.99 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

any lot

8 092.56 ₴

at 2 023.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Battle-Scarred

any lot

1 927.36 ₴

at 1 927.36

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 10 019.92 ₴ −5 053.47 (−50.4%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 6%
Losing outcome 82%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.054000

13 902.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178750

11 371.74 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

7 753.46 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

6 221.51 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

9 919.27 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 371.13 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 943.62 ₴ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

9 235.25 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 562.02 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

3 626.79 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

3 190.83 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 254.45 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.054000

9 295.28 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178750

6 561.48 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

4 195.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

3 037.56 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.675000

5 427.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 166.03 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 337.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

3 996.96 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 541.54 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

1 977.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 584.47 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559500

2 545.23 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 455.18 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 823.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5 304.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2645694 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −4 804.20₴ · invest 10 019.92₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.286576 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.616561 instead of 0.730496
Craft 2645702 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −4 804.20₴ · invest 10 019.92₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.616561 instead of 0.730496; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.286576 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2645695 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −4 847.72₴ · invest 10 019.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.307394 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.641949 instead of 0.730496
Craft 2645703 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −4 847.72₴ · invest 10 019.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.641949 instead of 0.730496; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.307394 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2645704 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 053.47₴ · invest 10 019.92₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2647187 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −5 179.15₴ · invest 11 778.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000
Craft 2647205 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 179.15₴ · invest 11 778.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.376185 instead of 0.380000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build