The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −7 570.17₴

Invest 13 958.28₴

Average return 6 388.11₴

ROI −54.2%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest 13 958.28 ₴, profit −7 570.17 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −8 099.43 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3517

4 046.28 ₴

at 2 023.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6166

5 353.77 ₴

at 2 676.88

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9323

4 282.49 ₴

at 4 282.49

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 13 682.53 ₴ −7 294.42 (−53.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 4%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

13 902.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.207916

11 371.74 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

7 753.46 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

6 221.51 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

9 919.27 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

2 371.13 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

2 943.62 ₴ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

9 235.25 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

2 562.02 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

3 626.79 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.645833

3 190.83 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 254.45 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

67 421.63 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

37 307.05 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

26 968.56 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.672916

44 528.33 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

31 712.32 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.395833

30 223.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

14 776.39 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 135.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.514583

5 022.90 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.672916

5 621.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

3 657.84 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.395833

3 694.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

4 661.07 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2 889.68 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

3 146.33 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.672916

2 675.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

2 175.95 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.395833

2 301.18 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

12 870.76 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 655.59 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

3 987.30 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.672916

3 781.89 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

2 993.51 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.395833

2 917.10 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

12 518.01 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 865.88 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.514583

4 062.82 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.672916

5 394.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.791666

2 996.66 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Well-Worn

float up to 0.395833

2 685.39 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2 88% of the wear range fits ×1.03 4 046.28 → 4 153.51 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 2 88% of the wear range fits ×1.03 5 353.77 → 5 495.64 ₴

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) × 1 88% of the wear range fits ×1.01 4 282.49 → 4 309.04 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.791666567

outcomes come out up to 0.063333, 0.207916, 0.791666, 0.791666, 0.791666, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.645833, 0.000000, 0.063333, 0.379999, 0.791666, 0.672916, 0.791666, 0.395833, 0.063333, 0.379999, 0.514583, 0.672916, 0.791666, 0.395833, 0.063333, 0.379999, 0.791666, 0.672916, 0.791666, 0.395833, 0.063333, 0.379999, 0.791666, 0.672916, 0.791666, 0.395833, 0.063333, 0.379999, 0.514583, 0.672916, 0.791666, 0.395833

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 196.42 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 554.74 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2648185 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −7 170.87₴ · invest 14 300.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2648196 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 170.87₴ · invest 14 300.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2646373 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −7 185.25₴ · invest 15 277.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2646391 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 185.25₴ · invest 15 277.30₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2647209 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 294.42₴ · invest 13 682.53₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2646374 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −7 313.25₴ · invest 15 341.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2646392 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 313.25₴ · invest 15 341.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2647192 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −7 342.72₴ · invest 13 682.53₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.932326
Craft 2647210 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 342.72₴ · invest 13 682.53₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.932326; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2643579 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −7 563.39₴ · invest 15 528.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2643590 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 563.39₴ · invest 15 528.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2643914 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −7 780.05₴ · invest 15 744.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621
Craft 2643925 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 780.05₴ · invest 15 744.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.380000 instead of 0.351700; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.640000 instead of 0.616621

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build