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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −3 158.88₸

Invest at least 8 055.40₸

Average return 4 896.52₸

ROI −39.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 8 055.40 ₸, profit at most −3 158.88 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

596.79 ₸

at 596.79

souvenirSteam

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 757.83 ₸

at 292.97

Steam

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1 041.67 ₸

at 347.22

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 3 396.29 ₸ +1 500.23 (+44.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

2 387.17 ₸

at 596.79

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

291.99 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

1 139.11 ₸

at 284.78

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 3 818.28 ₸ +1 270.30 (+33.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −779 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

1 019.70 ₸

at 339.90

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

3 580.76 ₸

at 596.79

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

284.78 ₸

at 284.78

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 4 885.24 ₸ +523.50 (+10.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1 790.38 ₸

at 596.79

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

146.00 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1 708.67 ₸

at 284.78

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 3 645.05 ₸ +1 379.51 (+37.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −501 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

679.80 ₸

at 339.90

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

3 580.76 ₸

at 596.79

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

291.99 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 4 552.55 ₸ +792.16 (+17.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

worst

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

1 856.24 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 764.89 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

2 187.03 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 421.23 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | New Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 387.19 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

9 051.83 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Quick Sand

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4 702.78 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Black & Tan

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

6 033.03 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +576.50 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 085.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build