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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −9.14₴

Invest at least 56.82₴

Average return 47.69₴

ROI −16.1%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 56.82 ₴, profit at most −9.14 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

10.58 ₴

at 2.65

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.45 ₴

at 3.15

souvenirSteam

×3

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

4.61 ₴

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.65 ₴ +23.04 (+93.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

2.06 ₴

at 2.06

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

10.58 ₴

at 2.65

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7.69 ₴

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.33 ₴ +15.92 (+78.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

4.12 ₴

at 2.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.65 ₴

at 2.65

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Commando Company

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.36 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

9.23 ₴

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.35 ₴ +7.47 (+43.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

4.12 ₴

at 2.06

souvenirSteam

×3

FAMAS | Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

4.07 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Green Cell

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

7.69 ₴

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.88 ₴ +3.23 (+20.3%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

57.77 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

69.68 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

106.99 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.046999

63.84 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | VariCamo Grey

Factory New

float up to 0.067187

18.81 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

10.19 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Acid Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

7.05 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Marsh

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

7.64 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Acid Hex

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

7.08 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Mustard Gas

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.06 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

Factory New

float up to 0.065097

8.13 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

5.77 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Garter-9

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.64 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.89 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Boreal Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2667784 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 27.48₴ · invest 26.36₴
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2670029 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 26.45₴ · invest 26.24₴
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2669615 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 23.91₴ · invest 23.64₴
Tec-9 | Garter-9: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.075282; G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New): float at most 0.004210 instead of 0.004621
Craft 2669562 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 23.86₴ · invest 23.85₴
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2670031 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 23.23₴ · invest 23.61₴
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2669561 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 23.22₴ · invest 24.86₴
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2670030 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 22.48₴ · invest 24.62₴
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.075282; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.075282

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

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How to build