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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −15.01₽

Invest at least 184.02₽

Average return 169.00₽

ROI −8.2%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 184.02 ₽, profit at most −15.01 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

55.35 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×5

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

19.15 ₽

at 3.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.50 ₽ +94.50 (+126.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

33.21 ₽

at 11.07

souvenirSteam

×5

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

19.15 ₽

at 3.83

Steam

×2

AUG | Contractor

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

97.20 ₽

at 48.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.56 ₽ +38.81 (+25.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

107.42 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

129.57 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

198.94 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

118.70 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65.20 ₽ 8.33%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

491.00 ₽ 8.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790.23 ₽ 8.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

22.40 ₽ 8.33%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

110.54 ₽ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

20.90 ₽ 8.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +50.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +72.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2696457 · The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 93.41₽ · invest 32.95₽
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build