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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −261.94₸

Invest at least 473.69₸

Average return 211.75₸

ROI −55.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 473.69 ₸, profit at most −261.94 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

106.77 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

54.69 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

41.56 ₸

at 20.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.02 ₸ +8.73 (+4.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

133.46 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

41.02 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

41.56 ₸

at 20.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.04 ₸ +28.92 (+13.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

186.85 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

31.79 ₸

at 31.79

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

41.56 ₸

at 20.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.20 ₸ +84.42 (+32.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

80.08 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

190.76 ₸

at 31.79

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

20.78 ₸

at 20.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 291.61 ₸ +86.21 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

160.16 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

27.34 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

41.56 ₸

at 20.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.06 ₸ +49.10 (+21.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

582.80 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

338.92 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

325.20 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

643.99 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

70.80 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81.65 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

147.84 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.036486

121.53 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

78.61 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

43.73 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −29.89 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7.98 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build