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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −366.48₸

Invest at least 2 187.46₸

Average return 1 821.03₸

ROI −16.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 2 187.46 ₸, profit at most −366.48 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

140.08 ₸

at 140.08

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

291.99 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

×7

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

486.11 ₸

at 69.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 918.19 ₸ +902.84 (+98.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

146.00 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 171.88 ₸

at 292.97

Steam

×5

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

347.22 ₸

at 69.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 665.11 ₸ +1 016.34 (+61.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 757.83 ₸

at 292.97

Steam

×3

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 555.84 ₸

at 518.61

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

69.44 ₸

at 69.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 383.11 ₸ +1 019.16 (+30.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

291.99 ₸

at 146.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

569.56 ₸

at 284.78

souvenirSteam

×6

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

416.67 ₸

at 69.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 278.22 ₸ +972.99 (+76.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 757.83 ₸

at 292.97

Steam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 037.23 ₸

at 518.61

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Rain Station

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

138.89 ₸

at 69.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 933.94 ₸ +1 038.09 (+35.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

FAMAS | 2A2F

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080634

464.20 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Green Line

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093761

516.12 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093761

384.50 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 074.93 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.046880

1 856.24 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.051568

3 764.89 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.045943

2 187.03 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.051568

14 421.23 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +580.52 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +761.40 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2667037 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 831.19₸ · invest 910.71₸
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rain Station (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161897 instead of 0.162049; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161897 instead of 0.162049
Craft 2670042 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 826.43₸ · invest 813.54₸
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rain Station (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162853 instead of 0.162049; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162853 instead of 0.162049
Craft 2670194 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 770.16₸ · invest 797.32₸
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; FAMAS | 2A2F: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163468 instead of 0.162049; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163468 instead of 0.162049; Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): float at most 0.004099 instead of 0.003667

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build