to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −9.85₴

Invest at least 218.22₴

Average return 208.37₴

ROI −4.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 218.22 ₴, profit at most −9.85 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

57.89 ₴

at 14.47

souvenirSteam

×6

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

32.40 ₴

at 5.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.29 ₴ +118.08 (+130.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

13.61 ₴

at 13.61

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

14.47 ₴

at 14.47

souvenirSteam

×3

P90 | Ash Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

11.81 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

27.00 ₴

at 5.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.89 ₴ +51.27 (+76.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

35.42 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

28.83 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

184.00 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

373.20 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

216.79 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 429.52 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +78.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +99.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2669603 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 131.85₴ · invest 93.61₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)
Craft 2669974 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 129.42₴ · invest 80.48₴
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162461 instead of 0.162462
Craft 2670158 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 123.02₴ · invest 80.73₴
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162099 instead of 0.162462
Craft 2667789 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 118.29₴ · invest 118.34₴
sells slowly

M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear), Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162755 instead of 0.162462

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build