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The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −632.97₽

Invest at least 1 325.42₽

Average return 692.45₽

ROI −47.8%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 1 325.42 ₽, profit at most −632.97 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

186.03 ₽

at 186.03

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

297.28 ₽

at 37.16

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

71.13 ₽

at 71.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 554.44 ₽ +138.01 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −214 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

146.90 ₽

at 146.90

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

372.06 ₽

at 186.03

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

140.00 ₽

at 35.00

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

213.39 ₽

at 71.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 872.35 ₽ +9.91 (+1.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

372.06 ₽

at 186.03

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

260.12 ₽

at 37.16

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

71.13 ₽

at 71.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 703.31 ₽ +84.04 (+11.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.47 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

673.90 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.043999

3 106.97 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 454.38 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

1 859.29 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.057999

1 494.21 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

977.88 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +42.69 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +92.54 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build