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The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −20 946.61₸

Invest at least 58 369.53₸

Average return 37 422.92₸

ROI −35.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 58 369.53 ₸, profit at most −20 946.61 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

5 305.38 ₸

at 5 305.38

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1 945.54 ₸

at 486.39

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

17 129.04 ₸

at 3 425.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 379.96 ₸ +13 042.96 (+53.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

10 610.76 ₸

at 5 305.38

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

1 945.54 ₸

at 486.39

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

13 703.23 ₸

at 3 425.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 259.53 ₸ +10 643.47 (+40.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

15 916.14 ₸

at 5 305.38

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1 945.54 ₸

at 486.39

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

10 277.42 ₸

at 3 425.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 139.10 ₸ +8 243.99 (+29.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 065 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

21 221.52 ₸

at 5 305.38

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

1 945.54 ₸

at 486.39

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

6 851.61 ₸

at 3 425.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 018.67 ₸ +5 844.50 (+19.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 233 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

26 526.89 ₸

at 5 305.38

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

1 945.54 ₸

at 486.39

Steam

×1

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

3 425.81 ₸

at 3 425.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 898.25 ₸ +3 445.01 (+10.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

11 337.43 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109 778.12 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

9 787.29 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

35 732.04 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

35 058.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

42 175.29 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 only The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 279.94 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10 796.41 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697449 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 13 735.02₸ · invest 23 564.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003899
Craft 2696142 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 13 399.97₸ · invest 25 908.07₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.003899
Craft 2675927 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 13 062.46₸ · invest 22 513.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.162813; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003553 instead of 0.003899

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build