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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −110.38$

Invest at least 253.13$

Average return 142.75$

ROI −43.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 253.13 $, profit at most −110.38 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

22.51 $

at 22.51

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

64.00 $

at 8.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

17.95 $

at 17.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.45 $ +38.30 (+36.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

180.09 $

at 22.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

8.00 $

at 8.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

17.95 $

at 17.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.03 $ +66.54 (+32.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

157.58 $

at 22.51

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

16.00 $

at 8.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

17.95 $

at 17.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.52 $ +62.50 (+32.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

135.07 $

at 22.51

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

24.00 $

at 8.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

17.95 $

at 17.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 177.01 $ +58.47 (+33.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

163.25 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

122.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

264.95 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

447.26 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.38 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2688309 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 40.32$ · invest 95.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.077088; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New): float at most 0.004536 instead of 0.006202

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build