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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1.65$

Invest at least 10.21$

Average return 8.56$

ROI −16.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 10.21 $, profit at most −1.65 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

2.65 $

at 0.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.16 $ +4.39 (+105.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

2.65 $

at 0.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.59 $ +2.66 (+74.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

1.98 $

at 0.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

4.10 $

at 2.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.60 $ +5.56 (+73.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

1.65 $

at 0.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6.15 $

at 2.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.33 $ +6.15 (+66.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

1.32 $

at 0.33

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

8.21 $

at 2.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.05 $ +6.74 (+61.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

3.00 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3.72 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

8.21 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

4.39 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3.36 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47.03 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

23.81 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.66 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.25 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.55 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2688943 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 5.55$ · invest 4.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168363 instead of 0.169655
Craft 2682282 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4.85$ · invest 6.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166338 instead of 0.169655

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build