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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −92.24₽

Invest at least 164.75₽

Average return 72.51₽

ROI −56.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 164.75 ₽, profit at most −92.24 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4793

28.84 ₽

at 7.21

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

22.62 ₽

at 7.54

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

13.40 ₽

at 6.70

Steam

×1

P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

7.32 ₽

at 7.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.18 ₽ +0.33 (+0.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4785

21.63 ₽

at 7.21

Steam

×5

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

37.70 ₽

at 7.54

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

6.70 ₽

at 6.70

Steam

×1

P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

7.32 ₽

at 7.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.35 ₽ +2.75 (+3.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 14%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

97.80 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

90.18 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

119.57 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

89.34 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

81.92 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.254599

50.99 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

52.67 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

63.59 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288799

53.83 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

51.56 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 28.84 → 68.21 ₽

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 22.62 → 51.12 ₽

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 13.40 → 29.61 ₽

P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7.32 → 15.81 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.379999900

outcomes come out up to 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.254599, 0.379999, 0.265999, 0.288799, 0.189999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.57 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.86 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build