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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −67.95$

Invest at least 161.47$

Average return 93.52$

ROI −42.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 161.47 $, profit at most −67.95 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

44.80 $

at 6.40

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

6.52 $

at 6.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

14.99 $

at 7.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.32 $ +27.20 (+41.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

51.20 $

at 6.40

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

10.87 $

at 10.87

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

7.50 $

at 7.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69.57 $ +30.77 (+44.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

32.00 $

at 6.40

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

19.57 $

at 6.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

14.99 $

at 7.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.56 $ +20.13 (+30.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

25.60 $

at 6.40

Steam

×4

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

26.09 $

at 6.52

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

14.99 $

at 7.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.69 $ +16.59 (+24.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 15%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113.77 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

124.88 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82.30 $ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

77.84 $ 15.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) × 7 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 44.80 → 114.25 $

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6.52 → 14.09 $

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 14.99 → 33.13 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.149999900

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.119999

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2687637 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 28.28$ · invest 66.66$
rare inputs

AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163768 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2679779 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 24.01$ · invest 66.42$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear), AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161622 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2685990 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 22.99$ · invest 64.80$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165761 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2687677 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 22.23$ · invest 62.08$
float cannot be reached

P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred), AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested), MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 7; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162563 instead of 0.168399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build