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The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −72.14₴

Invest at least 164.66₴

Average return 92.52₴

ROI −43.8%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 164.66 ₴, profit at most −72.14 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

39.58 ₴

at 4.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.30 ₴

at 10.30

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

18.47 ₴

at 18.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.35 ₴ +24.17 (+35.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

34.63 ₴

at 4.95

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

10.30 ₴

at 10.30

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

13.44 ₴

at 13.44

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

18.47 ₴

at 18.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.85 ₴ +24.24 (+31.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 36%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

101.66 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

130.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

87.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

81.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127499

186.41 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122999

213.51 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

185.39 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2677528 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 25.83₴ · invest 58.03₴
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2682641 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 25.52₴ · invest 62.65₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161891 instead of 0.162694; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074136 instead of 0.074415
Craft 2687409 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 24.13₴ · invest 68.71₴
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163965 instead of 0.162694; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074857 instead of 0.074415

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build