to all crafts

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −91.60$

Invest at least 201.71$

Average return 110.10$

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 201.71 $, profit at most −91.60 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

67.46 $

at 7.50

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11.24 $

at 11.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.70 $ +31.40 (+39.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7.50 $

at 7.50

Steam

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

39.56 $

at 9.89

Steam

×5

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

56.22 $

at 11.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.27 $ +0.46 (+0.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

52.47 $

at 7.50

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

9.89 $

at 9.89

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

22.49 $

at 11.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.85 $ +23.67 (+27.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14.99 $

at 7.50

Steam

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

39.56 $

at 9.89

Steam

×4

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

44.97 $

at 11.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.52 $ +5.01 (+5.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135.05 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

120.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

110.39 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

126.36 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2678941 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 30.15$ · invest 92.42$
float cannot be reached

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New)
Craft 2689049 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 29.68$ · invest 85.24$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build