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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −3.23$

Invest at least 46.25$

Average return 43.02$

ROI −7.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 46.25 $, profit at most −3.23 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

10.05 $

at 1.44

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

9.13 $

at 3.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.18 $ +23.84 (+124.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

1.44 $

at 1.44

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

44.24 $

at 6.32

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

25.67 $

at 12.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.34 $ +25.97 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

2.87 $

at 1.44

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

44.24 $

at 6.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

12.83 $

at 12.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.94 $ +28.32 (+47.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

5.74 $

at 1.44

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

4.85 $

at 4.85

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

29.56 $

at 5.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.14 $ +30.02 (+74.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

17.95 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

19.97 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

16.86 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

163.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

117.68 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

86.25 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2703009 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.89$ · invest 22.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161596 instead of 0.169038

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build