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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −426.11₸

Invest at least 4 268.97₸

Average return 3 842.86₸

ROI −10.0%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 4 268.97 ₸, profit at most −426.11 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

60.06 ₸

at 60.06

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

738.29 ₸

at 123.05

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1 011.56 ₸

at 337.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 809.91 ₸ +2 032.95 (+112.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

138.78 ₸

at 69.39

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

246.10 ₸

at 123.05

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

674.38 ₸

at 337.19

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2 798.63 ₸

at 699.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 857.89 ₸ +3 209.77 (+83.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 78%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.058624

631.19 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

401.37 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

918.03 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.066499

1 075.31 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

528.05 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

3 582.87 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 166.49 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 403.53 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 136.94 ₸ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 249.90 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 685.56 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2678142 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 653.65₸ · invest 2 135.38₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162304 instead of 0.161517
Craft 2702477 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 485.17₸ · invest 3 132.24₸
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161636 instead of 0.161517
Craft 2700782 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 132.94₸ · invest 2 730.76₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161636 instead of 0.161517
Craft 2700781 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 124.79₸ · invest 2 598.38₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164716 instead of 0.161517
Craft 2673210 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 105.77₸ · invest 2 636.41₸
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162875 instead of 0.161517
Craft 2704447 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 030.14₸ · invest 2 290.65₸
rare inputs

M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169278 instead of 0.161517

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build