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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −238.84₽

Invest at least 1 059.43₽

Average return 820.60₽

ROI −22.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 059.43 ₽, profit at most −238.84 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

346.05 ₽

at 38.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 415.18 ₽ +405.42 (+97.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

563.39 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 468.07 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

189.63 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

326.34 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

326.83 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

458.90 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 631.13 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

685.43 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

450.83 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

89.70 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +245.64 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +370.18 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2693290 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 427.23₽ · invest 422.75₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2676425 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 418.50₽ · invest 418.15₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693196 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 416.15₽ · invest 386.91₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693546 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 415.78₽ · invest 405.27₽
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693485 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 412.56₽ · invest 383.54₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2682883 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 412.21₽ · invest 395.07₽
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2679946 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 408.60₽ · invest 399.03₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2686196 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 408.34₽ · invest 374.63₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693466 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 406.57₽ · invest 404.67₽
rare inputs

Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693280 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 405.50₽ · invest 417.18₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2692254 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 405.25₽ · invest 405.05₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693740 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 405.04₽ · invest 379.05₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2693760 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 402.91₽ · invest 390.27₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2684027 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 402.44₽ · invest 428.93₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2679043 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 395.91₽ · invest 395.07₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build